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"I am extremely enthusiastic about this book. I think it will quickly become a classic. Like Sargent's and Varian's texts, it will be a centerpiece of the core cirriculum for graduate students."--John H. Cochrane, University of Chicago
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Preface | |
Difference Equations | p. 1 |
Lag Operators | p. 25 |
Stationary ARMA Processes | p. 43 |
Forecasting | p. 72 |
Maximum Likelihood Estimation | p. 117 |
Spectral Analysis | p. 152 |
Asymptotic Distribution Theory | p. 180 |
Linear Regression Models | p. 200 |
Linear Systems of Simultaneous Equations | p. 233 |
Covariance-Stationary Vector Processes | p. 257 |
Vector Autoregressions | p. 291 |
Bayesian Analysis | p. 351 |
The Kalman Filter | p. 372 |
Generalized Method of Moments | p. 409 |
Models of Nonstationary Time Series | p. 435 |
Processes with Deterministic Time Trends | p. 454 |
Univariate Processes with Unit Roots | p. 475 |
Unit Roots in Multivariate Time Series | p. 544 |
Cointegration | p. 571 |
Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Analysis of Cointegrated Systems | p. 630 |
Time Series Models of Heteroskedasticity | p. 657 |
Modeling Time Series with Changes in Regime | p. 677 |
Mathematical Review | p. 704 |
Statistical Tables | p. 751 |
Answers to Selected Exercises | p. 769 |
Greek Letters and Mathematical Symbols Used in the Text | p. 786 |
Author Index | p. 789 |
Subject Index | p. 792 |
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved. |
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The last decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This book synthesizes these recent advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides the first adequate text-book treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems (including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter) in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data.Time Series Analysisfills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. The book is intended to provide students and researchers with a self-contained survey of time series analysis. It starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers.
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