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Subprime Mortgage Credit Derivatives

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Prefacep. xiii
About the Authorsp. xv
Mortgage Creditp. 1
Overview of the Nonagency Mortgage Marketp. 3
Issuance Volumesp. 5
Roots of the 2007-2008 Subprime Crisisp. 5
Defining Characteristics of Nonagency Mortgagesp. 9
Loan Characteristicsp. 9
Risk Layeringp. 18
Agency versus Nonagency Executionp. 22
Summaryp. 23
First Lien Mortgage Creditp. 27
Concepts and Measurements of Mortgage Creditp. 28
Collateral Characteristics and Mortgage Credit: Assault of the Four Cs in 2006 (Credit, Collateral, Capacity, and Character)p. 35
The End Game: Foreclosure, REO Timeline, and Severityp. 46
The Role of Unobservable in 2006 Subprime Mortgage Creditp. 62
Second Lien Mortgage Creditp. 73
Two Types of Secondsp. 73
Higher Risks in Secondsp. 75
Recent Performancep. 80
Why Higher Losses?p. 80
Summaryp. 81
Mortgage Securitizationsp. 87
Features of Excess Spread/Overcollateralization: The Principle Subprime Structurep. 89
Excess Spread-Based Credit Enhancementp. 90
OC in Alt-A-Landp. 97
OC Internal Workingsp. 103
Summaryp. 110
Subprime Triggers and Step-Downsp. 111
The Step-Down and the Triggerp. 111
BBB Stack (on the Knife's Edge)p. 116
Effect of Triggers and the Loss Waterlinep. 117
Sampling the Subprime Universep. 118
2000-2003 Deal Step-Down Summaryp. 118
Step-Down and Credit Effectsp. 119
Summaryp. 122
Credit Default Swaps on Mortgage Securitiesp. 123
Introduction to Credit Default Swap on ABS CDSp. 125
Corporate CDS Fundamentals and Terminologyp. 125
Differences Between Corporate CDS and ABS CDSp. 128
Difficulties in ABS CDSp. 131
ABS CDS Effect on ABS CDO Managementp. 141
Two New Types of ABS CDOsp. 142
Summaryp. 143
The ABX and TABX Indicesp. 145
Backgroundp. 145
How a Deal Gets into the Indexp. 146
Index Mechanicsp. 149
Index Pricing Over Timep. 152
ABX Tranche Tradingp. 156
TABX Pricingp. 157
TABX versus CDOsp. 159
Summaryp. 160
Relationship among Cash, ABCDS, and the ABXp. 161
Fundamental Contractual Differences-Single-Name ABCDS/ABX Index/Cashp. 162
Supply/Demand Technicalsp. 168
What Keeps the Arbitrage from Going Away?p. 171
Summaryp. 173
Importance of ABCDS to CDO Managersp. 173
Credit Default Swaps on CDOsp. 177
CDO CDS Nomenclaturep. 178
CDO Credit Problems and their Consequencesp. 179
Alternative Interest Cap Optionsp. 182
Miscellaneous Termsp. 185
Cash CDO versus CDO CDSp. 186
Exiting a CDO CDSp. 187
Rating Agency Concerns on CDOs that Sell Protection via CDO CDSp. 188
Summaryp. 189
Loss Projection and Security Valuationp. 191
Loss Projection for Subprime, Alt-A, and Second Lien Mortgagesp. 193
Two Ways of Projecting Lossp. 193
Default Timingp. 194
Steps in Predicting Collatal Lossesp. 195
Pros and Cons of the Default Timing Curvep. 201
Historical Model Fit versus Actualp. 201
Default Timing Is Not Equal to Loss Timingp. 203
An Alternative Specificationp. 203
Alt-A and Closed-End Secondsp. 206
Summaryp. 209
Valuing the ABXp. 211
Review of Basic Valuation for ABX Indicesp. 211
Review of Valuation Approachesp. 212
Econometric Approachp. 214
ABX Valuationp. 234
The "Simple" or Do-It-Yourself Approach to ABX Valuationp. 239
ABX After Subprime Shutdownp. 254
Summaryp. 259
Results of Original "Base" Pricing (And Number of Bonds Written Down) and the New "Shutdown" Estimatesp. 260
ABS CDO Losses and Valuationp. 269
The Mortgage Loan-Mortgage Bond-ABS CDO Chainp. 270
Mortgage Deal Lossesp. 270
Subprime Mortgage Bond Lossesp. 273
Alt-A, Second Lien, and Prime Mortgage Bond Lossesp. 276
Aggregating Mortgage Bond Losses in 2006-7 Mezzanine ABS CDOsp. 276
Aggregating Mortgage Bond Losses in 2005 Mezzanine ABS CDOsp. 283
Drivers of CDO Losses and the Role of the Managerp. 284
ABS CDO Valuation and CDO Structurep. 288
Summaryp. 291
Subprime Meltdownp. 293
The Great Subprime Meltdown of 2007p. 295
An Earlier Subprime Crisisp. 296
The Virtuous Cyclep. 299
Early-Pay Defaults: The First Hint Things Were Changingp. 301
The 2006 Conundrump. 303
Banking Regulators: Not Too Little but Too Latep. 308
Who Will Rescue the Subprime Borrower?p. 312
Is Securitization the Villain?p. 312
Lack of Transparencyp. 316
Spilloverp. 317
Future for Subprimep. 317
Indexp. 319
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

Ã¥¼Ò°³

Authors Goodman, Zimmerman, Lucas, and Fabozzi offer managers in this market the best in up-to-date information and cutting-edge strategies for minimizing risk in their mortgage credit derivative portfolios. Broken up into four parts, this book covers topics including, Mortgage Credit (non-agency, first and second lien), Mortgage Securitizations (alternate structures and subprime triggers), Credit Default Swaps on Mortgage Securities (ABX, cash synthetic relationships, CDO credit default swaps), and Loss Projection and Security Valuation (ABX valuation, ABS CDO valuation, subprime and Alt-A loss projection).

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