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North Korea's Weapons Programmes : A Net Assessment

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Prefacep. 2
History: Disarmament Diplomacy with North Koreap. 5
North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Programmep. 27
North Korea's Chemical and Biological Weapons (CBW) Programmesp. 49
North Korea's Ballistic Missile Programmep. 63
The Conventional Military Balance on the Korean Peninsulap. 85
Conclusionp. 101
Footnotesp. 108
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), London, Moscow and Washington DC, 1 July 1968p. 114
Joint Declaration on the Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula (NSDD), Seoul, 31 December 1991p. 118
Agreed Framework between the United States of America and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Geneva, 21 October 1994p. 119
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.

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The current crisis over North Korea's nuclear program poses the greatest immediate threat to East Asian security and one of the most serious long-term challenges to the viability of the international non-proliferation regime. A number of different policy options have been advanced to deal with this issue, including preemptive military attacks, diplomacy, containment, sanctions and regime change. North Korea's Weapons Programmes provides a balanced and objective assessment of North Korea's nuclear, biological, chemical and ballistic missile programs. The dossier provides an historical review of North Korean programs in each area, an assessment of current capabilities, and an evaluation of different scenarios for future developments, emphasizing the inherent uncertainties in trying to evaluate North Korea's capabilities. In addition to chapters on North Korea's nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons and ballistic missile programs, the dossier includes chapters on the history of efforts to negotiate limits on North Korea's military capabilities and on the conventional military balance on the Korean peninsula. Importantly, the IISS does not advocate any particular policy option in dealing with North Korea. The objective is to assess, as accurately and dispassionately as possible, North Korea's current military capabilities in order to foster a well-informed public debate.

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