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Doing Bayesian Data Analysis : A Tutorial With R, Jags, and Stan[¾çÀå]

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"I think it fills a gaping hole in what is currently available, and will serve to create its own market as researchers and their students transition towards the routine application of Bayesian statistical methods." -Prof. Michael lee, University of California, Irvine, and president of the Society for Mathematical Psychology

"Kruschke's text covers a much broader range of traditional experimental designs...has the potential to change the way most cognitive scientists and experimental psychologists approach the planning and analysis of their experiments" -Prof. Geoffrey Iverson, University of California, Irvine, and past president of the Society for Mathematical Psychology

"John Kruschke has written a book on Statistics. It's better than others for reasons stylistic. It also is better because itis Bayesian. To find out why, buy it -- it's truly amazin'!"-James L. (Jay) McClelland, Lucie Stern Professor & Chair, Dept. Of Psychology, Standford University

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1. What's in This Book (Read This First!)

PART I The Basics: Models, Probability, Bayes' Rule, and R 2. Introduction: Credibility, Models, and Parameters 3. The R Programming Language 4. What Is This Stuff Called Probability? 5. Bayes' Rule

PART II All the Fundamentals Applied to Inferring a Binomial Probability 6. Inferring a Binomial Probability via Exact Mathematical Analysis 7. Markov Chain Monte Carlo 8. JAGS 9. Hierarchical Models 10. Model Comparison and Hierarchical Modeling 11. Null Hypothesis Significance Testing 12. Bayesian Approaches to Testing a Point ("Null") Hypothesis 13. Goals, Power, and Sample Size 14. Stan

PART III The Generalized Linear Model 15. Overview of the Generalized Linear Model 16. Metric-Predicted Variable on One or Two Groups 17. Metric Predicted Variable with One Metric Predictor 18. Metric Predicted Variable with Multiple Metric Predictors 19. Metric Predicted Variable with One Nominal Predictor 20. Metric Predicted Variable with Multiple Nominal Predictors 21. Dichotomous Predicted Variable 22. Nominal Predicted Variable 23. Ordinal Predicted Variable 24. Count Predicted Variable 25. Tools in the Trunk

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Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial with R, JAGS, and Stan, Second Edition provides an accessible approach for conducting Bayesian data analysis, as material is explained clearly with concrete examples. Included are step-by-step instructions on how to carry out Bayesian data analyses in the popular and free software R and WinBugs, as well as new programs in JAGS and Stan. The new programs are designed to be much easier to use than the scripts in the first edition. In particular, there are now compact high-level scripts that make it easy to run the programs on your own data sets.

The book is divided into three parts and begins with the basics: models, probability, Bayes' rule, and the R programming language. The discussion then moves to the fundamentals applied to inferring a binomial probability, before concluding with chapters on the generalized linear model. Topics include metric-predicted variable on one or two groups; metric-predicted variable with one metric predictor; metric-predicted variable with multiple metric predictors; metric-predicted variable with one nominal predictor; and metric-predicted variable with multiple nominal predictors. The exercises found in the text have explicit purposes and guidelines for accomplishment.

This book is intended for first-year graduate students or advanced undergraduates in statistics, data analysis, psychology, cognitive science, social sciences, clinical sciences, and consumer sciences in business.

Accessible, including the basics of essential concepts of probability and random sampling
Examples with R programming language and JAGS software
Comprehensive coverage of all scenarios addressed by non-Bayesian textbooks: t-tests, analysis of variance (ANOVA) and comparisons in ANOVA, multiple regression, and chi-square (contingency table analysis)
Coverage of experiment planning
R and JAGS computer programming code on website
Exercises have explicit purposes and guidelines for accomplishment
Provides step-by-step instructions on how to conduct Bayesian data analyses in the popular and free software R and WinBugs

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Kruschke, John K. [Àú] ½ÅÀ۾˸² SMS½Åû
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